
第 3 3 卷第3 期 大气科学学报 Vol . 33 N o . 3
2010 年 6 月 Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences Jun. 2010
姜丽霞,李帅,申双和,等.近46 a 黑龙江水稻障碍型冷害及其与气候生产力的关系[ ] . 大气科学学报,2010,3 3 ( ) :15-320.
Jiang Li-xia,Li Shuai,Shen Shuang-he,et al. Sterile-type cool injury on rice and its relationship wit climate productivity in Heilongjiang Province
from 1961 to 2006[J]. Trans Atmos Sci,2010,3 3 ( ) :15-320.
近 46 a 黑龙江水稻障碍型冷害及其与气候生产力的关系
姜 丽 霞 \ 李 帅 \ 申双和2 ,闫平\ 韩 俊 杰 \ 朱 海 霞 1 纪 仰 慧 \ 郭建 平 3
(1.黑龙江省气象科学研究所,黑 龙 江 哈 尔 滨 150030;
2.南京信息工程大学应用气象学院,江 苏 南 京 210044 .中国气象科学研究院,北 京 100081)
摘要:利用黑龙江省稻作区46 a( 1961—2 0 0 6 年)每年7—8 月逐日平均气温、5—9 月逐旬平均气
温、降水量资料,采用气候统计方法分析了自然低温下障碍型冷害发生的规律和时空变化特征,基
于logistic曲线方程模拟粳稻气候生产力,建立起5 个区域粳稻气候生产力与障碍型冷害期间平均
温度和冷害持续时间的关系模型。结果表明,近 46 a 间,2 0 世纪7 0 年代是障碍型冷害高发期,20
世纪8 0 年代是障碍型冷害发生频率由多至少的转折期,2 1 世纪初为低发期。黑龙江省北部稻作
区、东部稻作区和中部稻作区为障碍型冷害重发区,南部稻作区为中等发生区,西部稻作区为轻发
区。5 个区域障碍型冷害发生期间的平均温度与粳稻气候生产力相关性均不显著,而冷害持续时
间对粳稻气候生产力影响显著,并具有明显的地域差异,北部、东部和南部极显著(通过0. 0 1 信度
的显著性检验),冷害 持 续时间每延长1 d ,北部、东部和南部粳稻气候生产力分别下降
119. 89 k g /hm2、213.60 k g / hm2、D3. 84 k g / hm 2,西部和中部影响不显著。
关键词:障碍型冷害;水稻;气候生产力
中图分类号:P49 文献标识码:A 文章编号= 1674-7097(2010)03-0315-06
Sterile-type Cool Injury on Rice and Its Relationship with Climate
Productivity in Heilongjiang Province from 1961 to 2006
J I A N G Li-xia1 ,LI Shuai1 , S H E N Shuang-he2 , Y A N Ping1 , H A N Jun-jie1 ,
Z H U Hai-xia1 ,JI Yang-hui1 , G U O Jian-ping3
(1. Heilongjiang Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Harbin 150030,China;
2. School of Applied Meteorology,N U I S T ,Nanjing 210044 ,China;. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 100081, China)
Abstract : With the average daily temperature from July to August, t e ten-day average temperature and
precipitation from M a y to September of rice planting area in Heilongjiang Province during 1961 to
2006,by using the method of climatic statistics based on which the temporal and spatial characteristics
of sterile-type cool injuries are analyzed under natural low temperatre condition. This paper simulated
Japonica Rice climate productivity and established 5 models concerning the relationship between Japoni-
ca Rice climate productivity and the average temperatre and duration of low temperature in sterile-type
cool injuries by using Logistic Curve Equation and linear regression in 5 regions. The results show tat
in recent 46 years,sterile-type cool injury occurred most frequently in the 1970s and its occurrence
gradually reduced in te 1980s and came to a low point at t e beginning of the 21st centry. As for re
gional distribution, frequency of sterile-type cool injury is high in t e north, east and central areas while
its frequency is moderate in t e souti area and lowest in t e west area. Fur tier investigations show tat
收稿日期:2009-10-2;改回日期:2010D1-06
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(40705041) ;中国气象局行业专项(2009416025) ;中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF-09-13)
作者简介:姜丽霞(1972— ) ,女,吉林德惠人,高级工程师,研究方向为农业气象和农业气候资源,jianglixia0326@yahoo. com. cn.