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Practical Time-Series Analysis
Time Series Analysis allows us to analyze data
which is generated over a period of time and
has sequential interdependencies between
the observations. This book describes special
mathematical tricks and techniques which
are geared towards exploring the internal
structures of time series data and generating
powerful descriptive and predictive insights.
Also, the book is full of real-life examples
of time series and their analyses using
cutting-edge solutions developed in Python.
The book starts with descriptive analysis to
create insightful visualizations of internal
structures such as trend, seasonality and
autocorrelation. Next, the statistical methods
of dealing with autocorrelation and non-
stationary time series are described. This is
followed by exponential smoothing to produce
meaningful insights from noisy time series data.
At this point, we shift focus towards predictive
analysis and introduce autoregressive models
such as ARMA and ARIMA for time series
forecasting. Later, powerful deep learning
methods are presented, to develop accurate
forecasting models for complex time series,
and under the availability of little domain
knowledge. All the topics are illustrated with
real-life problem scenarios and their solutions
by best-practice implementations in Python.
The book concludes with the Appendix, with
a brief discussion of programming and solving
data science problems using Python.
Things you will learn:
• Understand the basic concepts of
Time Series Analysis and appreciate its
importance for the success of a data
science project
• Develop an understanding of loading,
exploring, and visualizing time-series
data
• Explore auto-correlation and gain
knowledge of statistical techniques to
deal with non-stationarity time-series
• Take advantage of exponential
smoothing to tackle noise in
time-series data
• Learn how to use auto-regressive
models to make predictions using
time-series data
• Build predictive models on time series
using techniques based on
auto-regressive moving averages
• Discover recent advancements in deep
learning to build accurate forecasting
models for time-series
• Gain familiarity with the basics of
Python as a powerful yet simple to
write programming language
www.packtpub.com
$ 44.99 US
£ 37.99 UK
Prices do not include local sales
Tax or VAT where applicable
Practical Time-Series Analysis Dr. Avishek Pal, Dr. PKS Prakash
Master Time Series Data Processing, Visualization, and
Modeling using Python
Practical
Time Series
Analysis
Dr. Avishek Pal, Dr. PKS Prakash

Practical Time Series Analysis
Master Time Series Data Processing, Visualization, and
Modeling using Python
Dr. Avishek Pal
Dr. PKS Prakash
>
BIRMINGHAM - MUMBAI

Practical Time Series Analysis
Copyright © 2017 Packt Publishing
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or
transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the
publisher, except in the case of brief quotations embedded in critical articles or reviews.
Every effort has been made in the preparation of this book to ensure the accuracy of the
information presented. However, the information contained in this book is sold without
warranty, either express or implied. Neither the authors, nor Packt Publishing, and its
dealers and distributors will be held liable for any damages caused or alleged to be caused
directly or indirectly by this book.
Packt Publishing has endeavored to provide trademark information about all of the
companies and products mentioned in this book by the appropriate use of capitals.
However, Packt Publishing cannot guarantee the accuracy of this information.
First published: September 2017
Production reference: 2041017
Published by Packt Publishing Ltd.
Livery Place
35 Livery Street
Birmingham
B3 2PB, UK.
ISBN 978-1-78829-022-7
www.packtpub.com

Credits
Authors
Dr. Avishek Pal
Dr. PKS Prakash
Copy Editor
Tasneem Fatehi
Reviewer
Prabhanjan Tattar
Project Coordinator
Manthan Patel
Commissioning Editor
Veena Pagare
Proofreader
Safis Editing
Acquisition Editor
Aman Singh
Indexer
Tejal Daruwale Soni
Content Development Editor
Snehal Kolte
Graphics
Tania Dutta
Technical Editor
Danish Shaikh
Production Coordinator
Deepika Naik

About the Authors
Dr. Avishek Pal, PhD, is a software engineer, data scientist, author, and an avid Kaggler
living in Hyderabad, the City of Nawabs, India. He has a bachelor of technology degree in
industrial engineering from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Kharagpur and has
earned his doctorate in 2015 from University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom. At
Warwick, he studied at the prestigious Warwick Manufacturing Centre, which functions as
one of the centers of excellence in manufacturing and industrial engineering research and
teaching in UK.
In terms of work experience, Avishek has a diversified background. He started his career as
a software engineer at IBM India to develop middleware solutions for telecom clients. This
was followed by stints at a start-up product development company followed by Ericsson, a
global telecom giant. During these three years, Avishek lived his passion for developing
software solutions for industrial problems using Java and different database technologies.
Avishek always had an inclination for research and decided to pursue his doctorate after
spending three years in software development. Back in 2011, the time was perfect as the
analytics industry was getting bigger and data science was emerging as a profession.
Warwick gave Avishek ample time to build up the knowledge and hands-on practice on
statistical modeling and machine learning. He applied these not only in doctoral research,
but also found a passion for solving data science problems on Kaggle.
After doctoral studies, Avishek started his career in India as a lead machine learning
engineer for a leading US-based investment company. He is currently working at Microsoft
as a senior data scientist and enjoys applying machine learning to generate revenue and
save costs for the software giant.
Avishek has published several research papers in reputed international conferences and
journals. Reflecting back on his career, he feels that starting as a software developer and
then transforming into a data scientist gives him the end-to-end focus of developing
statistics into consumable software solutions for industrial stakeholders.
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