Eur. Phys. J. A (2020) 80 :170 Page 3 of 14 170
g
g
μ
−
j
μ
+
j
LQ
LQ
μ
−
j
μ
+
j
g
g
LQ
LQ
Fig. 3 Example Feynman diagrams of LQ pair production at a hadron
collider followed by subsequent decay of each LQ into μj
Table 1 Design centre of mass energies and integrated luminosities of
the LHC Run II and future hadron colliders
√
s (TeV) L (ab
−1
)
LHC 13 0.14
HL-LHC 14 3
HE-LHC 27 15
FCC-hh 100 20
must carry colour to preserve SU(3) and therefore, by SU(3)
gauge symmetry, must couple to gluons via the QCD cou-
pling constant.
Run II of 13 TeV running at the LHC has produced
some 139 fb
−1
of integrated luminosity each for ATLAS
and CMS. A search for NCBA-solving LQs using all of this
data is eagerly awaited, having not appeared yet. The next
phase of LHC running will be in the 14 TeV high-luminosity
phase (HL-LHC), with a design integrated luminosity of 3
ab
−1
. This phase will provide much new information on the
NCBAs [34] concurrently with Belle II [35,36]. At the same
time, direct searches for new particles [37] may include S
3
.
One potential future LHC upgrade would be to insert 16
Tesla magnets into the current LHC ring, resulting in the
high energy LHC (HE-LHC), running at a nominal energy of
27 TeV with a design integrated luminosity of 15 ab
−1
[38].
Ultimately, such magnets could be placed within a much
larger tunnel, resulting in the Future Circular Collider, which
could collide protons (FCC-hh) at a centre of mass energy
√
s = 100 TeV with a design luminosity of 20 ab
−1
[39,40].
We arrive at the question central to this paper, which is:
For LQs which fit the NCBAs, what is the LQ mass
sensitivity of future hadron colliders?
We wish to estimate the sensitivity for the Run II, HL-LHC,
HE-LHC and FCC-hh options. Table 1 summarises the centre
of mass energies and integrated luminosities that will be used
for each collider in our estimates. We hope that this will help
inform the European Strategy for particle physics, which is
currently deliberating on various scientific priorities.
A previous estimate of future collider sensitivity to S
3
LQs
consistent with the NCBAs was made in Ref. [19], which
projected current sensitivity to higher centre of mass ener-
gies and luminosities. However, the sensitivity estimate had
two highly dubious approximations. The first was that experi-
mental efficiency and acceptance did not change with centre
of mass energy. In fact, at large m
LQ
and at high energies
(particularly at FCC-hh), the decay products from LQs will
be highly boosted. This has two effects: the muons will be
pushed closer to the jets, meaning that more of them will fail
isolation criteria. Also, at higher energies, the muon momen-
tum resolution is likely to be very poor, since such hard
muons can only be bent to a limited extent by the magnets.
This will also affect the signal efficiency from peak broad-
ening. The second dubious approximation was that the LQs
are produced exactly at threshold. This is likely to introduce
large uncertainties. We shall rectify these approximations in
our paper by performing a fast simulation of the signal and
backgrounds, as well as including detector response. The
first of these approximations has already been found to have
non-trivial effects upon the predicted future hadron collider
sensitivity of Z
explanations of the NCBAs [22,41]. The
estimate in this paper should be much more accurate than the
previous pioneering determination in Ref. [19].
Searches for LQ pair production with subsequent decays
of each into a muon and a jet have already been performed at
the 13 TeV LHC. The ATLAS Collaboration set a 95% con-
fidence level lower limit on m
LQ
of 1.05 TeV from 3.2 fb
−1
of pp collisions [42]. This is a simple cut-based analysis,
which we adopt for estimating future hadron collider sensi-
tivity. More recent experimental analyses were made more
sophisticated in order to squeeze more sensitivity out of them.
The CMS Collaboration maximise their sensitivity using a
multi-dimensional optimisation of the final selection for each
m
LQ
in 36 fb
−1
of delivered beam at the LHC [43], finding
a 95% CL lower bound of m
LQ
> 1.28 TeV. The ATLAS
collaboration has also performed a search in 36 fb
−1
of 13
TeV pp collisions for LQs decaying to muons and jets. They
utilise differential cross-section measurements and boosted
decision trees to obtain a lower bound of m
LQ
> 1.23 TeV.
However, such a level of sophistication is unnecessary for
our purposes, where the uncertainties involved in estimating
future collider sensitivities (for example because we do not
yet know the experimental design) are much larger than the
gain in sensitivity. Thus, following the much simpler method-
ology in Ref. [42] is sufficient for our purposes. The NCBAs
predict that there should be couplings between S
3
and
¯
b, μ
from the first term in Eq. 5. Thus we expect a decay channel
S
3
→
¯
bμ to be open. In the experimental analysis we choose,
the bottom quark remains untagged and is counted merely as a
light jet. We note that the second term in Eq. 5 may simultane-
ously predict S
3
decays to top quarks and muons. This mode
is more complicated than the one we choose for analysis,
and we leave it for future work. For a discussion of potential
analysis strategies for this decay mode, see Ref. [44].
Collider sensitivity to LQ pair production is limited by SM
background rates. Therefore the estimation of such back-
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