Industry direction: “Autonomous and
electric” – what’s yours?
Getting a handle on the digital activity in progress is just the
first step. To know which activities are valuable and which
are not, a company needs a sense of where its industry is
headed.
This can feel daunting. Computing power is constantly
expanding, available data are exploding and the number of
connected devices is proliferating. Artificial intelligence and
machine learning add to the complexity. It’s understandable
that companies might struggle to figure out where their
industry fits on the technology curve, and what threat digital
natives might pose.
Getting a sense of industry direction is daunting, but not
impossible. If they had been asked years ago to imagine
their industry’s future, automotive executives would have
rightly said, “Autonomous and electric”. The few who took
steps towards a future of autonomous and electric cars are
now seeing the payoff. Most expected Tesla to be the first
carmaker to produce a mass-market electric vehicle at a
price of about $30,000 that could travel 200 miles on one
charge, but General Motors (GM) saw where the market was
heading and started investing early. In 2010, it introduced
the Chevrolet Volt, and seven years later the improved
Chevrolet Bolt which, according to Chevrolet’s website,
can travel 238 miles per charge at a price of $29,995 (after
federal tax credits). Motor Trend magazine named it the
2017 Car of the Year. By contrast, Tesla began very small-
scale production of its Model 3 in 2017 and has struggled to
make its goal of 5,000 cars per month. Rather than focus on
its top-selling SUVs and sedans, GM is revving up its electric
fleet, aiming to introduce at least 20 new electric models by
2023, with plans to shift to an all-electric fleet further in the
future, as reported in “GM aims to have 20 all-electric car
models by 2023”, ft.com, 2 October 2017.
Every industry has its version of “autonomous and electric,”
and leadership teams can identify theirs by asking the
right questions. Executives who ask them and debate the
answers will have thought deeply about the future of their
industry and will have given themselves the opportunity to
adjust their plans accordingly. The working group developed
a list of critical questions:
Your role in a digital future
Even when a company’s leaders know where their
industry is heading, deciding on the company’s role for
the future is not always easy. A company vision involves
identifying and evaluating choices, including:
– Ambition: What is our goal? How far and how fast do
we want to move?
– Market selection: In which parts of the value chain and
customer segments should we participate?
– Business model: Is a new business model required, or
can our old one evolve?
– Critical assets and capabilities: Are those that
differentiate us today the ones we need in the future?
Leadership teams will make different choices. As with
traditional strategy, every company will have its own view
on how to compete in the digital future. An incumbent
may not be able to shift to an asset-light model, instead
developing a digital strategy grounded in its distribution
assets or network of suppliers. Alternatively, a company
with a historical cost advantage will likely want to
invest first in technology to drive efficiencies rather
than in technology to support a personalized customer
experience.
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The Digital Enterprise