一种基于多LSTM模型融合的降水量预测方法以及装置与流程代码
时间: 2024-01-24 16:02:06 浏览: 21
以下是基于多LSTM模型融合的降水量预测方法的Python代码示例:
```python
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from keras.models import Sequential
from keras.layers import LSTM, Dense
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
# 数据准备
data = pd.read_csv('rainfall_data.csv')
data = data.fillna(method='ffill')
scaler = MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1))
scaled_data = scaler.fit_transform(data[['rainfall']])
# 构建多个LSTM模型
num_models = 5
look_back = 12
train_size = int(len(scaled_data) * 0.7)
X_train, Y_train, X_test, Y_test = [], [], [], []
for i in range(num_models):
trainX, trainY, testX, testY = [], [], [], []
for j in range(len(scaled_data)-look_back-1):
if np.random.random() < 0.7:
trainX.append(scaled_data[j:(j+look_back), 0])
trainY.append(scaled_data[j+look_back, 0])
else:
testX.append(scaled_data[j:(j+look_back), 0])
testY.append(scaled_data[j+look_back, 0])
X_train.append(np.array(trainX))
Y_train.append(np.array(trainY))
X_test.append(np.array(testX))
Y_test.append(np.array(testY))
# 训练多个LSTM模型
models = []
for i in range(num_models):
model = Sequential()
model.add(LSTM(50, input_shape=(look_back, 1)))
model.add(Dense(1))
model.compile(loss='mean_squared_error', optimizer='adam')
model.fit(X_train[i], Y_train[i], epochs=20, batch_size=1, verbose=1)
models.append(model)
# 对多个LSTM模型的预测结果进行加权平均
predictions = []
for i in range(num_models):
pred = models[i].predict(X_test[i])
predictions.append(pred)
predictions = np.array(predictions)
avg_pred = np.mean(predictions, axis=0)
# 对结果进行评估
mse = np.mean((avg_pred - Y_test[0])**2)
rmse = np.sqrt(mse)
print('RMSE: %.3f' % rmse)
```
该代码示例包括数据准备、构建多个LSTM模型、训练多个LSTM模型、对多个LSTM模型的预测结果进行加权平均和对结果进行评估等步骤。其中,num_models是LSTM模型的个数,look_back是时间步长,train_size是训练集大小,X_train、Y_train、X_test和Y_test分别是训练集和测试集的输入和输出数据。训练模型时,采用了随机抽样的方法,提高了模型的泛化能力。最后,通过计算均方根误差(RMSE)来评估模型的预测精度。